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这些是欧元交易的最好时间

2016-09-05 14:23:16

 Alan Farley  2016年9月1日

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欧元的全球流通量排在第二为,仅在美元之后,它后面是日元和英镑。外汇交易者通过对货币对实时涨跌的判断进行欧元投机。尽管外汇经纪商提供几十种欧元货币对,但是大多数客户主要关注以下六种主要货币对:

EUR/USD(欧元/美元)

EUR/CHF(欧元/瑞郎)

EUR//JPY(欧元/日元)

EUR/GBP(欧元/英镑)

EUR/AUD(欧元/澳元)

EUR/CAD(欧元/加元)

美国的欧元交易从周日晚上持续到下周的周五下午,为交易者提供巨大的获利机会。然而,每天的交易量和价格波动幅度很大,非主要货币对的点差在安静时期将会加大而在活跃时间将会降低。

许多外汇交易者将所有精力都集中在EUR/USD上,该货币对是最受环境和外汇市场中流通性最大的。该货币对在一天中的点差都非常小,多种日内影响使得该货币对将波动能在所有时框架的买卖方向都形成可交易区间。

欧元价格催化剂

交易欧元最好的时机是经济数据刚刚发布时,以及股票、期权和期货交易所开盘时间。对数据发布的提前准备需要进行双边研究,因为欧元区的催化剂可以使主要货币对受到相同强度的影响。此外,由于EUR/USD货币对的至关重要,美国经济数据可以对所有货币产生最大影响。

另外,欧元货币对很容易受到那些引发全球股市、货币和债券产生类似价格波动的经济和政治宏观事件的影响。2015年8月的人民币贬值就是一个完美的例子。即使是自然灾害也会产生这种类型的相关反应,2011年日本海啸就证明了这一点。

经济数据

欧元区的月度经济数据通常在美国东部时间下午两点发布。数据发布之前的30-60分钟和发布之后的1-3小时是欧元货币对交易非常活跃时间,因为这一数据至少会对五个主要货币对中的三个产生影响。对经济数据发布的准备还将重叠到美国交易日,引发大西洋两岸交易量同时大增。

美国经济数据通常在东部时间上午8:30和10:00之间发布,也将引发欧元交易量大增,有很高的几率形成主要欧元货币的强烈区间价格波动。日本的经济数据引发的关注小很多,因为该数据通常会在美国东部时间的下午十点4:30和10:00之间发布,当时欧元区正处于午夜的梦乡中。即便如此,EUR/JPY和EUR/USD的交易量也可以在这个时间大幅度上升。

欧元和股票交易所时间

许多欧元交易者的时间表大致与交易所时间一致,他们的交易活动集中法兰克福和纽约股票交易所以及芝加哥期货和期权市场的开盘时间。这种分布导致美国东部海岸午夜时间的交易量大增,这种趋势将持续一夜并延续到美国的午饭时间,之后外汇交易量可能会出现大幅下降。

然而,中央银行会议议程会改变这一活动周期,全球所有的交易员都会在美国东部时间下午2点这个联邦市场公开会议的利率决定发布或者会议之前坐在桌子前。英格兰银行的利率决定发布于美国时间的下午7点,欧洲中港银行的则是在美国东部时间的上午7:45分。

总结

六种欧元的主要货币对向欧元交易者提供多种短期和长期机会。交易这些货币对的时间应该与数据发布的美国东部时间上午1点30分、上午2点、上午10点一致,同时也可以是欧洲和美国交易所使所有货币对市场活跃和流动的午夜和中午。

 

These Are The Best Hours To Trade the Euro (EURUSD)

By Alan Farley | Updated September 1, 2016 — 5:23 PM EDT

The euro (EUR) ranks second behind the U.S. dollar (USD) in terms of global liquidity, trailed by the Japanese yen (JPY) and British pound (GBP). Forex traders speculate on EUR strength and weakness through currency pairs that establish comparative value in real-time. Although brokers offer dozens of related crosses, most clients focus their attention on the six most popular pairs:

U.S. dollar (USD) - EUR/USD

Swiss franc (CHF) - EUR/CHF

Japanese yen (JPY) - EUR//JPY

British pound (GBP) - EUR/GBP

Australian dollar (AUD) - EUR/AUD

Canadian dollar (CAD) - EUR/CAD

EUR trades continuously from Sunday evening to Friday afternoon in the United States, offering significant opportunities for profit. However, volume and volatility can fluctuate greatly in each 24-hour cycle, with bid/ask spreads in the less popular pairs widening during quiet periods and narrowing during active periods. While the ability to open and close positions at any time marks a key benefit of forex, the majority of trading strategies unfold during active periods.

Many forex traders focus their full attention on the EUR/USD cross, the most popular and liquid currency market in the world. The cross maintains a tight spread throughout the 24-hour cycle, while multiple intraday catalysts ensure that price actions will set up tradable trends in both directions and along all time frames. Long- and short-term swings also work extremely well with classic range-bound strategies, including swing trading and trading channels.

Euro Price Catalysts

The best time to trade the euro coincides with the release of economic data, as well as the open hours at equity, options and futures exchanges. Planning ahead for these data releases requires two-sided research because local (eurozone) catalysts can move popular pairs with the same intensity as catalysts in each of the cross venues. Moreover, U.S. economic data can have the greatest impact on all currencies, due to the overriding importance of the EUR/USD pair.

In addition, EUR crosses are vulnerable to economic and political macro events that trigger highly correlated price actions across equities, currencies and bond markets around the world. China’s devaluation of the yuan in August 2015 offers a perfect illustration. Even natural disasters have the power to generate this type of coordinated response, as evidenced by the 2011 Japanese tsunami.

Economic Releases

Eurozone monthly economic data is generally released at 2 a.m. Eastern Time (ET) in the United States. The time segment from 30 to 60 minutes prior to these releases and one to three hours afterwards highlights an enormously popular period to trade EUR pairs because the news will impact at least three of the five most popular crosses. It also overlaps the run-up into the U.S. trading day, drawing in significant volume from both sides of the Atlantic.

U.S. economic releases tend to be released between 8:30 a.m. and 10 a.m. ET and generate extraordinary EUR trading volume as well, with high odds for strongly trending price movement in the most popular pairs. Japanese data releases get less attention because they tend to come out at 4:30 p.m. and 10 p.m. ET, when the eurozone is in the middle of their sleep cycle. Even so, trading volume with the EUR/JPY and EUR/USD pairs can spike sharply around these time zones.

Euro and Equity Exchange Hours

The schedules for many EUR traders roughly follow exchange hours, centering their activity when the Frankfurt and New York equity markets and Chicago futures and options markets are open for business. This localization generates an increase in trading volume around midnight on the U.S. East Coast, continuing through the night and into the American lunch hour, when forex trading activity can drop sharply.

However, central bank agendas shift this activity cycle, with forex traders around the world staying at their desks when the Federal Reserve (FOMC) is scheduled to release a 2 p.m. ET interest rate decision or the minutes of the prior meeting. The Bank of England (BOE) issues its rate decisions at 7 a.m. ET, while theEuropean Central Bank (ECB) follows at 7:45 a.m. ET, with both releases taking place in the center of high volume EUR activity.

The Bottom Line

Six popular currency pairs offer euro traders a wide variety of short- and long-term opportunities. The best times to trade these instruments coincide with key economic releases at 1:30 a.m., 2 a.m., 8:30 a.m. and 10 a.m. U.S. Eastern Time, as well as between midnight and noon, when European and American exchanges keep all cross markets active and liquid.

 

本文翻译由兄弟财经提供

文章来源:http://www.investopedia.com/articles/forex/090115/these-are-best-hours-trade-euro.asp

 
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