日突破交易策略

本文作者是Maite Krausse，首次刊登在2014月12月出版的《交易者杂志》中。

Maite Krausse 自从拿到工商管理学位之后便一直对股市感兴趣。现在，她已经是一个专业的外汇日交易者。她的丈夫，Maite，会为交易员提供专业支持——找出日内交易信号，分析以及提供建议。

如果在突破之后交易外汇
无论交易员处于何种外汇交易层次，这都是一个问题：哪种交易策略可以带来最大盈利？哪种交易系统可以让您的账户在外汇市场中安然无恙？我们不能承诺交易圣杯，因为它根本不存在。但是却存在一种在市场波动阶段取得较高盈利的交易策略：突破交易策略。

简单的方法——巨大的效果
突破交易方法可以很好的适用于5大主要货币对。我们使用欧洲以及美国交易时间（欧洲中部时间8am至10pm）来涵盖重大的财经事件。价格突破的酝酿区间是欧洲中部时间的12am至8am。这个时间段是对特定的某一天有作用——接下来的一天你需要重新定义它，因此，该策略适合日交易者。8am之前的最高点是交易的上限，阻力位以及最低点是支撑位。如果价格突破上限或者是最低点，那么在突破最高点后做多；击穿最低点后做空。交易者不需要一直盯着图表——我们在8am设置buy stop、sell stop挂单。一旦挂单被触发，我们就会让仓位维持一整天。在市场波幅小的时候，我们使用1：2风险回报比率；有重大经济事件（比如美联储将公布利率决议）的时候采取1：4风险回报比。我们每笔交易的风险都不能大于本金的2%——相对于4%~8%的盈利而言。如果结合15~25个点的移动止损的话，风险管理将会变得更加容易。

开仓
我们在欧洲中部时间12am~8am利用15分钟图观察价格波动范围。我们会在这个时间段内确定日内波动的最高点和最低点。我们在高于最高点2~5个点处设置多单挂单；在低于最低点2~5个点处设置做空挂单。此外，我们利用小时图来观察支撑和阻力位。我们决定是在阻力还是在支撑位卖出。

平仓
贪婪是交易的7宗罪之一。但是任何一位交易者都能感受到单子处于盈利中的感觉并且都希望盈利更多点差。这种感觉非常普遍，因此，你需要有很强的、固定盈利的交易计划。根据市场波动，盈利可以锁定在40~100点之间。市场平静的时候盈利目标可以设置相对小点；波动大的时候比如美联储利率决议的时候盈利目标可以设置为100点。这样，突破策略就足够明确，它可以帮助你树立交易信心——去除贪婪和恐惧。你应该始终遵循开仓和平仓策略，同时，也要接受平仓后的假突破或者巨大的盈利空间。

The Daily Breakout Strategy
This article written by Maite Krausse was originally published in the november 2014 issue of Traders' Magazine.
• Maite Krausse has been interested in the stock markets since taking her degree in business administration. Today she is a professional day trader and is specialised on forex. Her husband and Maite offer professional support to traders – finding daily trading signals, analysis and tips.
How to Trade Breakouts in Forex
It is always the same question for traders of all experience-levels in Forex: Which strategy achieves the most profit and which trading system will save the account in the forex market? We cannot promise the Holy Grail, because it simply does not exist in trading. But there is a helpful strategy that achieves high profits in volatile market phases: the breakout strategy.

Simple Approach – Huge Effect
Breakouts are best used with the majors, the five major currency pairs. We use the volatile trading times of the European and American trading session (8 am until 10 pm Central European Time) to cover the fundamental events. The price range that the price shall “break” is formed from 12 am to 8 am CET and offers the trader the basic trading approach for the following day at 8 am. This  range is valid for the particular day – you’ll define it again on the next day and therefore this strategy is useful for day traders. The highs until 8 am are the upper border and the resistance level and the lows are the support levels. If the price exceeds the high or undercuts the low, the buy order above the high or the sell order below the low is executed. The trader does not need to watch the chart the whole time – we enter pending orders at 8 am for the buy and sell entries. As soon as a buy or sell order is executed the trade is managed all day – we use a 1:2 risk-reward ratio on quiet days and a risk-reward ratio of 1:4 on economically important days, for example a Fed decision regarding interest rates. We do not risk more than one or two per cent of trading capital per trade – in contrast to four or eight per cent of profit possibility. Trade management is simple with an automatic trailing stop of 15 to 25 pips.  

Entries
We observe the price range between 12 am to 8 am CET in the 15-minute chart. During this time we determine the highs and lows. We enter two to five pips above the high or two to five pips below the low. Furthermore, we look at support and resistance levels in the hourly chart. We determine sell orders above resistance and sell orders below support.

Exits
Greed is one of the cardinal sins in trading. But every trader knows the feeling of a trade in profit and you want to achieve even  more pips. This is a very human feeling and therefore you need a strong trading plan with fixed take-profit rules. We calculate it based on the RRR and we follow it strictly. For example, we can determine the stop-loss (SL) at 20 to 30 pips. The take profit (TP) is determined at 40 to 100 pips, depending on market fluctuation. We choose a smaller TP in quiet market phases and a higher TP on days of interest rate decisions and other big events. If a trade is stopped out with a loss, we can re-enter on the same day, again with a pending order. The breakout strategy is now clearly determined and that helps the psyche of the trader – cancelling out greed and fear. You should always follow your entry and exit rules and you should accept false breakouts or huge profits after your TP.  

本文翻译由兄弟财经提供

文章来源：http://www.fxstreet.com/education/technical/the-daily-breakout-strategy/2014/11/21/