机器人会帮你度过危机吗？

我仍清晰地记得2008年的“保证金大追加”，我也记得金融危机期间，每天醒来都会看到CNBC屏幕上血红的数字。

我还记得巴菲特说过，我们已经离开ATM机24个小时了，再也取不出钱了。那是可怕的、让人着迷的一段时间。

那时我还是一个交易员，但是我没有进行交易。那时候我忙着调查，忙得筋疲力尽。但实际情况是，我和其他人一样害怕，但却很庆幸没被套在市场里。自始至终，我都没有准备好。

将时间推至上周五（2015年8月21日）到今天这段时间。

同2008年8月的水平相比，这算不上危机，但确实让人紧张。道琼斯指数的下降幅度多年未见，各大网站都将市场新闻移至首页。

而此时此刻，我在市场中，有一个测试了12年的机器人。

机器人不会神出鬼没，它会在混乱的市场中不断交易。这是件好事吗？机器人在这场危机中表现如何？

在这里澄清一下，我用四个不同的机器人交易四个不同的账户。即使在我休假的时候也不会关掉机器人，因为我从来不会关掉他们，除非我收到了紧急信号或是危险的警告。简而言之，我今年只关掉机器人一次，就是收到极度危险信号的时候。

当然，不是每个机器人或交易系统都能攻克危机，但是你若能找到合适的系统，降低亏损的风险，增加盈利的因素，你就会拥有更好的机会。

底线就是：如果你的系统完美地通过了测试，你就能抵御市场暴跌。如果你不确定，就可以回头看看2008年8月-12月，看看你的系统在那时候表现如何。可能你的系统表现得并不完美，但它能够撑住你，你就可以趁此机会撤出。

风险很可怕，你可能被吓跑，也可能慌了手脚胡乱交易。但是机器人不会害怕，他们只是一笔接一笔地交易，这在市场暴跌时事件好事。

Can Robots Navigate You Through a Crisis?

Robots don’t get spooked and robots have reasons to keep on trading right through the mess. So, is that a good thing?

I vividly remember The Great Margin Call of 2008. I also remember waking up each day during that financial crisis and watching the bloody red numbers racing across the CNBC screen.

Finally, I remember Warren Buffett saying that we were all about twenty-four hours away from going to our ATMs and having no money come out. It was a horrifying, mesmerizing time.

I was a trader at the time, but I wasn’t trading. I was deep into research at the time, and I won’t put anything in the market until I’ve tested it exhaustively. But the truth was: I was scared just like everyone else. Every day during the crisis I was happy that I wasn’t in the market. All along, I simply wasn’t ready.

Fast-forward to last Friday (August 21, 2015) and all the days up until today.

While I wouldn’t call it a crisis on the level of August, 2008, I would still say it’s been pretty intense. The Dow has been dropping in quantities not seen in years and newspaper articles about the markets have moved to the front pages. Hundreds of billions of dollars have been lost in a matter of days.

This time around, however, I am in the market. This time around, I have robots that have been tested over 12 years of data.

Robots don’t get spooked and robots have reasons to keep on trading right through the mess. So, is that a good thing? How have the robots done during this crisis?

For clarification, I trade four different robots in separate accounts (the same ones I’ve traded for several months). I did not turn any of them off while I was on vacation and because I don’t turn robots off at all, unless I get an emergency notice from Tradestation or something dire along those lines. In short, I’ve turned my robots off exactly once this year due to any sort of potentially calamitous development.

Of course, not every robot or trading system does well in a crisis. But, if you choose a system with a good profit to drawdown ratio and a good Profit Factor, your chances get much better.

The bottom line is: If your system has been thoroughly tested, you should be able to weather a market meltdown. If you’re not sure, you can always go back to August-December of 2008 and see how your current system would’ve done. Your system probably won’t be perfect during that time, but it should hold up enough so that you could take every trade and come out okay on the other side.

Crises are scary and it’s easy to be scared out of the market or scared into trading your system improperly. But robots are never scared. They just go on to the next trade. And that’s a good trait to have during a meltdown.

本文翻译由兄弟财经提供

文章来源：http://www.financemagnates.com/executives/insights/can-robots-navigate-you-through-a-crisis/